Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.931992 1.076312 1.232223 1.412758 1.615613 1.836065 2.093318
2024-12-22 0.723257 0.924811 1.161503 1.458063 1.817619 2.237253 2.761692
2024-12-29 0.604543 0.842734 1.142656 1.543444 2.059781 2.696926 3.536159
2025-01-05 0.488252 0.736414 1.069161 1.539840 2.178974 3.005961 4.144301
2025-01-12 0.398157 0.645712 0.997181 1.520287 2.264234 3.267206 4.700735
2025-01-19 0.331379 0.574824 0.939073 1.506677 2.347807 3.523424 5.259484
2025-01-26 0.288925 0.532630 0.914803 1.534966 2.487498 3.860777 5.945952
2025-02-02 0.252148 0.492777 0.887344 1.552416 2.608397 4.174759 6.614037
2025-02-09 0.220050 0.455118 0.857460 1.560558 2.712255 4.466407 7.262631
2025-02-16 0.198014 0.431521 0.847182 1.597637 2.861663 4.832621 8.039670
2025-02-23 0.175611 0.403368 0.824968 1.611037 2.971613 5.141923 8.743895
2025-03-02 0.148422 0.361053 0.771654 1.564004 2.975569 5.281616 9.188620
2025-03-09 0.136042 0.347659 0.771279 1.612776 3.148395 5.707188 10.116595
2025-03-16 0.123383 0.331570 0.763783 1.647622 3.299511 6.106236 11.024063
2025-03-23 0.117455 0.329615 0.783997 1.736281 3.552186 6.688224 12.259555
2025-03-30 0.103412 0.306063 0.756848 1.730021 3.630908 6.977903 13.022123
2025-04-06 0.089942 0.281230 0.723558 1.707572 3.676576 7.211094 13.698372
2025-04-13 0.078834 0.260137 0.695454 1.692225 3.733157 7.464378 14.418147
2025-04-20 0.072182 0.249667 0.689947 1.723369 3.881220 7.887742 15.451394
2025-04-27 0.065504 0.237773 0.679521 1.742603 4.006353 8.274767 16.436360
2025-05-04 0.058988 0.224976 0.665197 1.751580 4.110771 8.627839 17.374761
2025-05-11 0.054772 0.218317 0.665172 1.792522 4.282882 9.114870 18.574323
2025-05-18 0.049730 0.207943 0.654318 1.807314 4.400968 9.504510 19.611036